Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

J.T. Realmuto

matchup for Caleb Thielbar

99th out of 436 (Best 23%)

Caleb Thielbar

matchup for J.T. Realmuto

401st out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Moderate advantage for Thielbar

J.T. Realmuto has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Caleb Thielbar, which is 1.2% lower than Realmuto's typical expectations, and 2.4% lower than batters facing Thielbar.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	19.5%	2.6%	5.3%	11.7%	9.9%	32.2%
Realmuto	-1.2	-2.2	+0.2	-0.2	-2.1	+1.0	+5.4
Thielbar	-2.4	-2.3	-0.7	+0.2	-1.8	-0.1	+4.2

J.T. Realmuto is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Caleb Thielbar is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Realmuto has a B+ grade vs this particular release point.

Caleb Thielbar throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. J.T. Realmuto has a C grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

49%

Slider (L)

29%

Curve (L)

22%

16% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. J.T. Realmuto has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 9%

+4%

Likely Ball 20%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Meatball 3%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-3%

Non-Competitive 8%

-4%

50% of Caleb Thielbar's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 21% higher than the MLB average. J.T. Realmuto has a D grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 50%

+21%

Small Break 29%

+21%

Slow Lob 22%

+18%

Extreme Drop 22%

+17%

15.7% of J.T. Realmuto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Caleb Thielbar strikes out 18.8% of the batters he faces, which is 5.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.9% +5.2% 5%

Walk -1.3% +1.9% 40%

In Play -0.6% -7.1% 39%

On Base -0.3% -6.1% 31%

Hit +1.0% -8.0% 14%

Single -0.3% -4.3% 13%

2B / 3B 0.0% -3.9% 3%

Home Run +1.3% +0.2%

33.8% of J.T. Realmuto's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. Caleb Thielbar induces Standard Grounders at a 31.6% rate, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -0.6% -2.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.8% -3.1% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -0.5% 9%

Rising Liner -0.5% -1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.5% -0.7% 3%

Likely Homer +0.3% +0.9% 1%

No Doubter +0.1% +0.4% 20%

Routine Flyout +0.2% +2.4% 3%

Pop up -0.4% +5.0%

27.2% of J.T. Realmuto's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. 23.3% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -1.4% +2.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% +1.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.6% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +3.7% -4.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.9% -1.0%

10.3% of J.T. Realmuto's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.2% lower than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Caleb Thielbar are hit at this angle, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%