Matchup Machine

J.T. Realmuto

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matchup for Zack Wheeler

142nd out of 436 (Best 33%)

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Zack Wheeler

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matchup for J.T. Realmuto

547th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Strong advantage for Wheeler
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Model Prediction

J.T. Realmuto has a 24.1% chance of reaching base vs Zack Wheeler, which is 6.5% lower than Realmuto's typical expectations, and 1.7% lower than batters facing Wheeler.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.1%16.1%2.4%4.8%9.0%8.0%36.0%
Realmuto-6.5-5.60.0-0.7-4.8-1.0+9.2
Wheeler-1.7-1.6-0.1+0.3-1.8-0.1+3.6

Handedness and Release Point

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J.T. Realmuto is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zack Wheeler is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Realmuto has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Zack Wheeler throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. J.T. Realmuto has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
42%
   Slider (R)
21%
   Sinker (R)
19%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

15.7% of J.T. Realmuto's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Zack Wheeler strikes out 21.0% of the batters he faces, which is 7.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% +7.9% 5%         Walk -1.3% -2.6% 40%         In Play -0.6% -5.3% 39%         On Base -0.3% -6.2% 31%         Hit +1.0% -3.6% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B 0.0% -1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.3% -1.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years