Matchup Machine

Joc Pederson

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

305th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for Joc Pederson

424th out of 567 (Worst 25%)

Leans in favor of Pederson
1

Model Prediction

Joc Pederson has a 31.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.9% lower than Pederson's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.7%20.7%2.4%5.6%12.7%11.0%26.7%
Pederson-1.9-0.7-0.7+0.6-0.7-1.1+2.0
Weathers+1.8-0.8+0.3+0.0-1.2+2.6+2.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Joc Pederson is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Pederson has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Joc Pederson has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Joc Pederson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -2.1% 2%         Walk +4.4% -0.6% 41%         In Play -3.9% +2.7% 39%         On Base +2.9% +0.9% 31%         Hit -1.5% +1.5% 14%         Single -1.9% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years