Matchup Machine

Joc Pederson

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

356th out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for Joc Pederson

339th out of 567 (Worst 40%)

Moderate advantage for Pederson
4

Model Prediction

Joc Pederson has a 34.6% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 1.1% higher than Pederson's typical expectations, and 2.7% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.6%18.7%2.5%4.4%11.8%16.0%26.2%
Pederson+1.1-2.8-0.5-0.6-1.7+3.9+1.4
Schmidt+2.7-0.9+0.1+0.3-1.4+3.6+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Joc Pederson is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Pederson has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Joc Pederson has a C grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Joc Pederson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +0.3% 2%         Walk +4.4% +1.6% 41%         In Play -3.9% -1.9% 39%         On Base +2.9% -0.3% 31%         Hit -1.5% -2.0% 14%         Single -1.9% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.8% 0.0%

History

Joc Pederson has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221100100.500
Expected From Contact →0.820.200.540.080.410
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-01Home Run20%54%8%18%
2023-04-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.