Matchup Machine

Joc Pederson

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matchup for Chad Green

341st out of 436 (Worst 22%)

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Chad Green

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matchup for Joc Pederson

434th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Leans in favor of Pederson
1

Model Prediction

Joc Pederson has a 28.3% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 5.3% lower than Pederson's typical expectations, and 1.5% higher than batters facing Green.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.3%20.7%4.2%5.4%11.0%7.6%26.7%
Pederson-5.3-0.8+1.1+0.5-2.4-4.5+1.9
Green+1.5+0.5+0.9+0.4-0.8+1.0+1.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Joc Pederson is better vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Pederson has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Joc Pederson has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
72%
   Slider (R)
14%
   Curve (R)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Joc Pederson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +9.3% 2%         Walk +4.4% -3.9% 41%         In Play -3.9% -5.4% 39%         On Base +2.9% -8.6% 31%         Hit -1.5% -4.7% 14%         Single -1.9% -2.2% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -2.9% 3%         Home Run +1.8% +0.3%

History

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