Matchup Machine

Joc Pederson

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matchup for Jordan Lyles

317th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

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Jordan Lyles

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matchup for Joc Pederson

out of 567 (Worst %)

Extreme advantage for Pederson
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Model Prediction

Joc Pederson has a 35.8% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Lyles, which is 2.2% higher than Pederson's typical expectations, and 2.1% higher than batters facing Lyles.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.8%23.9%3.4%4.9%15.6%11.9%18.4%
Pederson+2.2+2.5+0.40.0+2.1-0.2-6.4
Lyles+2.1-0.3+0.1-0.9+0.5+2.4+0.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Joc Pederson is better vs right-handed pitching. Jordan Lyles is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Pederson has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Lyles throws a 4-seam fastball 35% of the time. Joc Pederson has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
35%
   Slider (R)
23%
   Curve (R)
17%
   Sinker (R)
12%
   Changeup (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Joc Pederson's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Jordan Lyles strikes out 15.7% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +0.8% 2%         Walk +4.4% -2.3% 41%         In Play -3.9% +1.5% 39%         On Base +2.9% -4.1% 31%         Hit -1.5% -1.7% 14%         Single -1.9% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.4% -0.7% 3%         Home Run +1.8% -0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years