Matchup Machine

Manny Machado

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matchup for Chris Paddack

258th out of 436 (Worst 41%)

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Chris Paddack

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matchup for Manny Machado

359th out of 567 (Worst 37%)

Moderate advantage for Machado
3

Model Prediction

Manny Machado has a 29.0% chance of reaching base vs Chris Paddack, which is 2.3% lower than Machado's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Paddack.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.0%24.3%3.8%5.6%14.9%4.7%20.0%
Machado-2.3+0.2+0.4-0.2-0.1-2.5-0.8
Paddack-1.2+0.6+0.40.0+0.2-1.8-2.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Manny Machado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Paddack is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Machado has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Chris Paddack throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Manny Machado has a B grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
56%
   Changeup (R)
28%
   Curve (R)
12%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Manny Machado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Chris Paddack strikes out 17.8% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.3% +4.3% 5%         Walk -2.4% -3.2% 36%         In Play +7.7% -1.1% 39%         On Base +4.5% -3.8% 31%         Hit +6.9% -0.6% 14%         Single +2.5% -0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.6% -0.1% 3%         Home Run +1.9% +0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years