Matchup Machine

Manny Machado

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matchup for Jordan Hicks

404th out of 436 (Worst 8%)

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Jordan Hicks

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matchup for Manny Machado

7th out of 567 (Best 2%)

Extreme advantage for Machado
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Model Prediction

Manny Machado has a 38.7% chance of reaching base vs Jordan Hicks, which is 7.4% higher than Machado's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Hicks.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction38.7%28.6%3.6%7.7%17.2%10.1%15.5%
Machado+7.4+4.4+0.3+1.9+2.2+3.0-5.3
Hicks+0.4+3.7+0.9+2.4+0.4-3.3-5.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Manny Machado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jordan Hicks is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Machado has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jordan Hicks throws a Sinker 63% of the time. Manny Machado has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
63%
   Slider (R)
25%
   Splitter (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Manny Machado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Jordan Hicks strikes out 13.3% of the batters he faces, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.3% -1.7% 5%         Walk -2.4% +1.8% 36%         In Play +7.7% -0.1% 39%         On Base +4.5% +2.9% 31%         Hit +6.9% +1.1% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.7% 13%         2B / 3B +2.6% +0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.9% -0.4%

History

Manny Machado has 6 plate appearances against Jordan Hicks in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual661001100.167
Expected From Contact →0.900.000.380.520.150
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-09-14Strikeout
2024-04-05Flyout99%
2024-04-05GIDP37%20%43%
2024-04-05Groundout20%80%
2024-03-30Flyout99%
2024-03-30Single12%88%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.