Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Manny Machado

matchup for Zack Littell

315th out of 436 (Worst 28%)

Zack Littell

matchup for Manny Machado

455th out of 567 (Worst 20%)

Leans in favor of Machado

Manny Machado has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Zack Littell, which is 4.0% lower than Machado's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Littell.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.3%	22.7%	3.6%	5.5%	13.6%	4.6%	20.8%
Machado	-4.0	-1.4	+0.2	-0.3	-1.4	-2.6	+0.0
Littell	-0.1	+1.0	+0.7	+0.2	+0.1	-1.1	-2.6

Manny Machado is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zack Littell is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Machado has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Zack Littell throws a Slider 38% of the time. Manny Machado has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Slider (R)

38%

4-Seam (R)

37%

Splitter (R)

15%

Sinker (R)

8% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Manny Machado has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

+0%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

38% of Zack Littell's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Manny Machado has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 38%

+19%

Just Gravity 26%

+12%

Breaking (R) 39%

+8%

11.5% of Manny Machado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Zack Littell strikes out 15.1% of the batters he faces, which is 0.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.3% -0.6% 5%

Walk -2.4% -3.4% 36%

In Play +7.7% +4.0% 39%

On Base +4.5% -1.9% 31%

Hit +6.9% +1.5% 14%

Single +2.5% +0.4% 13%

2B / 3B +2.6% +0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.9% +0.6%

33.0% of Manny Machado's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Zack Littell induces Standard Grounders at a 29.7% rate, which is 4.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.4% -4.7% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% -0.9% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% -0.2% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% +1.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% +2.0% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% +0.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.2% -0.2% 3%

Pop up +0.8% +2.4%

35.0% of Manny Machado's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.7% higher than the league average. 28.2% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.2% -1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.9% +0.8% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.6% -0.9% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.0% -2.6% 24%

Above 100 mph +10.7% +3.9%

10.5% of Manny Machado's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 12.6% of batted balls allowed by Zack Littell are hit at this angle, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.7% -3.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.3% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.9% -1.2% 18%

7 to 18° -2.8% +1.8% 15%

19 to 28° -0.2% -2.5% 11%

29 to 38° -0.9% +1.1% 7%

39 to 50° +0.3% +0.9% 8%

Above 50° +0.7% +4.5%

Manny Machado has 7 plate appearances against Zack Littell in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 6 with 2 doubles and a walk

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	7	6	3	0	2	1	1	1	0.500
Expected From Contact →			2.53	0.57	0.82	1.13			0.421

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-06-17	Groundout			8%	92%
2023-06-16	GIDP			4%	96%
2022-08-31	Double	57%	12%		31%
2022-08-29	Single			84%	15%
2022-07-08	Walk
2022-05-22	Triple		69%	17%	14%
2022-04-11	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe