Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Worst 9% of matchups for Austin Gomber

Best 8% of matchups for Manny Machado

Model Prediction
Prediction	4.2%	4.7%	16.3%	6.9%	12.5%
MLB (+/-)	+1.4	+0.5	+2.3	-2.8	-12.7
Machado	+0.5	+0.4	+2.2	-1.7	-8.3
Gomber	+0.9	+0.4	+0.0	-0.9	-3.8

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

History (Last 3 Years)
	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	24	21	2	1	0	1	1	3	.095
Expected From Contact →			3.58	0.33	1.73	1.52			.171

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-07-31	Walk
2023-07-31	Lineout		15%	4%	81%
2023-07-31	Pop Out				100%
2023-06-09	Pop Out				99%
2023-06-09	Home Run	30%	63%	3%	5%
2023-06-09	Flyout		3%		96%
2023-04-02	Groundout			4%	96%
2023-04-02	Pop Out				100%
2023-04-02	Groundout			44%	56%
2022-08-02	Lineout		70%	10%	20%
2022-08-02	Walk
2022-07-12	Groundout			9%	91%
2022-07-12	Flyout				100%
2022-07-12	Flyout	3%	12%		84%
2021-08-01	Single		3%	71%	26%
2021-06-14	Flyout				100%
2021-06-14	Flyout				99%
2021-06-14	Flyout		3%		96%
2021-05-18	Strikeout
2021-05-18	Flyout				99%
2021-05-18	Flyout				100%
2021-05-12	Flyout				100%
2021-05-12	Walk
2021-05-12	Groundout		1%	3%	96%
2020-10-01	Field Error

	Swing	Grade	Pitch Type	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	49%	89	Fastball	16	45%
⭐⭐	29%	82	Breaking	-26	37%
	9%	59	Offspeed	0	18%
			------------------
⭐	49%	63	Four-Seam FB	-3	44%
⭐⭐	55%	81	Slider	-6	20%
	59%	56	Changeup	0	18%
	64%	-4	Knuckle-Curve	-94	17%

	Swing	Grade	Location (in zone)	Grade	Freq
⭐⭐	73%	91	Bottom of zone	13	13%
⭐⭐	77%	99	Top of zone	-3	12%
	63%	53	Away / Arm Side	9	11%
⭐⭐	66%	100	In / Glove Side	-29	10%
	83%	53	Middle	-23	7%

	Swing	Grade	Location (out of zone)	Grade	Freq
	38%	45	Below the zone	22	30%
	33%	39	In / Glove Side	30	24%
⭐	33%	66	Above the zone	8	24%
	28%	53	Away / Arm Side	-3	22%

	Swing	Grade	Count	Grade	Freq
	39%	37	First Pitch	10	28%
⭐⭐	56%	100	Batter Behind	0	28%
	52%	57	Batter Ahead	4	26%
⭐⭐	66%	101	2 Strikes	-23	26%
	60%	38	3 Balls	2	8%
	73%	50	Full Count	-9	4%

Model Prediction
	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	4.2%	4.7%	16.3%	6.9%	12.5%
MLB (+/-)	+1.4	+0.5	+2.3	-2.8	-12.7
Machado	+0.5	+0.4	+2.2	-1.7	-8.3
Gomber	+0.9	+0.4	+0.0	-0.9	-3.8