Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Manny Machado

matchup for Austin Gomber

363rd out of 436 (Worst 17%)

Austin Gomber

matchup for Manny Machado

95th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Extreme advantage for Machado

Manny Machado has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Austin Gomber, which is 0.7% higher than Machado's typical expectations, and 0.3% higher than batters facing Gomber.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.0%	27.2%	4.2%	6.9%	16.1%	4.8%	15.4%
Machado	+0.7	+3.1	+0.9	+1.1	+1.1	-2.4	-5.4
Gomber	+0.3	+1.3	+0.9	+0.2	+0.2	-1.1	-2.4

Manny Machado is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Austin Gomber is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Machado has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Austin Gomber throws a 4-seam fastball 42% of the time. Manny Machado has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

42%

Slider (L)

21%

Kn-Curve (L)

18%

Changeup (L)

18%

9% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Meatballs, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Manny Machado has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Meatball 9%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Mid Challenge 11%

Weak Challenge 9%

Likely Ball 19%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

Chaser 4%

-2%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

42% of Austin Gomber's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Manny Machado has a B+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 42%

+23%

Extreme Drop 16%

+11%

Breaking (L) 40%

+10%

11.5% of Manny Machado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber strikes out 13.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -5.3% -3.3% 5%

Walk -2.4% -2.5% 36%

In Play +7.7% +5.9% 39%

On Base +4.5% +0.6% 31%

Hit +6.9% +3.1% 14%

Single +2.5% +1.2% 13%

2B / 3B +2.6% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +1.9% +0.3%

33.0% of Manny Machado's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 1.4% lower than the league average. Austin Gomber induces Standard Grounders at a 32.5% rate, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -1.4% -1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder +2.0% +0.7% 14%

Low Screamer +0.2% +1.5% 9%

Rising Liner -1.0% +0.5% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.2% +0.6% 3%

Likely Homer +0.6% -0.5% 1%

No Doubter +0.2% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up +0.8% -1.6%

35.0% of Manny Machado's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 10.7% higher than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.2% -1.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.9% +1.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -4.6% -1.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph -3.0% +4.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +10.7% -2.8%

10.5% of Manny Machado's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.9% lower than the league average. 12.1% of batted balls allowed by Austin Gomber are hit at this angle, which is 0.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.7% -0.7% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.3% -0.4% 8%

1 to 6° +0.9% -0.4% 18%

7 to 18° -2.8% -0.5% 15%

19 to 28° -0.2% +1.8% 11%

29 to 38° -0.9% +0.6% 7%

39 to 50° +0.3% +0.4% 8%

Above 50° +0.7% -0.8%

Manny Machado has 19 plate appearances against Austin Gomber in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 17 with 2 home runs, a double and 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	19	17	3	2	1	0	3	2	0.176
Expected From Contact →			4.10	0.42	2.17	1.51			0.241

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-08-02	Strikeout
2024-08-02	Home Run	9%	32%	6%	54%
2024-08-02	Double		11%	75%	14%
2024-05-15	Strikeout
2024-05-15	Strikeout
2023-07-31	Lineout		17%	4%	79%
2023-07-31	Walk
2023-07-31	Pop Out				100%
2023-06-09	Flyout		5%		95%
2023-06-09	Pop Out				99%
2023-06-09	Home Run	31%	64%		4%
2023-04-02	Pop Out				100%
2023-04-02	Groundout			40%	60%
2023-04-02	Groundout			3%	97%
2022-08-02	Walk
2022-08-02	Lineout		75%	9%	16%
2022-07-12	Groundout			12%	88%
2022-07-12	Flyout				100%
2022-07-12	Flyout	1%	13%		85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine Log InSubscribe

Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
Log In Subscribe