Matchup Machine

Manny Machado

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matchup for Tyler Anderson

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Tyler Anderson

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matchup for Manny Machado

114th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Strong advantage for Machado
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Model Prediction

Manny Machado has a 34.7% chance of reaching base vs Tyler Anderson, which is 3.5% higher than Machado's typical expectations, and 1.0% higher than batters facing Anderson.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction34.7%23.8%3.3%5.8%14.7%11.0%18.2%
Machado+3.5-0.4-0.1+0.0-0.3+3.8-2.6
Anderson+1.0+1.5+0.4+0.6+0.6-0.5-3.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Manny Machado is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tyler Anderson is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Machado has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tyler Anderson throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Manny Machado has an A- grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
38%
   Changeup (L)
32%
   Cutter (L)
22%
   Sinker (L)
7%

Contact and Outcomes

11.5% of Manny Machado's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 5.3% lower than the league average. Tyler Anderson strikes out 14.6% of the batters he faces, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -5.3% -1.9% 5%         Walk -2.4% -1.0% 36%         In Play +7.7% +2.9% 39%         On Base +4.5% -0.1% 31%         Hit +6.9% +0.9% 14%         Single +2.5% +0.5% 13%         2B / 3B +2.6% +0.6% 3%         Home Run +1.9% -0.2%

History

Manny Machado has 16 plate appearances against Tyler Anderson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 14 with a home run, 2 walks

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual16142101320.143
Expected From Contact →4.170.971.172.030.298
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-06-03Pop Out100%
2024-06-03Intent Walk
2024-06-03Home Run97%3%
2022-10-15Flyout1%99%
2022-10-15Single55%24%21%
2022-09-27Lineout2%69%29%
2022-09-27Strikeout
2022-09-27Forceout41%58%
2022-08-07Lineout7%44%49%
2022-08-07Strikeout
2022-08-07Groundout12%7%81%
2022-07-02Strikeout
2022-07-02GIDP29%9%62%
2022-07-02Walk
2022-04-23Walk
2022-04-23GIDP7%8%85%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.