Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Aaron Judge

matchup for Jared Jones

432nd out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Aaron Judge

350th out of 564 (Worst 38%)

Extreme advantage for Judge

Aaron Judge has a 40.0% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.1% higher than Judge's typical expectations, and 9.0% higher than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	40.0%	19.5%	5.7%	5.1%	8.7%	20.6%	32.9%
Judge	+0.1	-2.4	+0.0	-0.2	-2.2	+2.5	+5.5
Jones	+9.0	-1.4	+2.7	+0.0	-4.1	+10.3	+4.4

Aaron Judge is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Judge has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

15.8% of Aaron Judge's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +0.4% 0%

Walk +9.3% +0.6% 44%

In Play -11.3% -1.1% 39%

On Base +7.5% -0.1% 31%

Hit -1.8% -0.8% 14%

Single -4.6% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -4.3% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +7.1% +0.9%

26.2% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.2% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.0% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +5.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +4.3% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +2.5%

49.4% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 25.1% higher than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -8.2% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.8% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.6% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +25.1% +0.4%

16.7% of Aaron Judge's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%