Matchup Machine

Aaron Judge

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

353rd out of 436 (Worst 19%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Aaron Judge

563rd out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
3

Model Prediction

Aaron Judge has a 31.0% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 8.9% lower than Judge's typical expectations, and 3.6% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.0%18.6%3.9%5.1%9.6%12.4%43.3%
Judge-8.9-3.3-1.8-0.2-1.3-5.6+15.8
Crochet+3.6-2.4+1.4+0.0-3.8+5.9+8.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Aaron Judge is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Judge has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Aaron Judge's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.0% +9.4% 0%         Walk +9.3% -1.3% 44%         In Play -11.3% -8.1% 39%         On Base +7.5% -3.9% 31%         Hit -1.8% -2.5% 14%         Single -4.6% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -4.3% -1.1% 3%         Home Run +7.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years