Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Aaron Judge

matchup for Kutter Crawford

436th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

Kutter Crawford

matchup for Aaron Judge

234th out of 567 (Best 42%)

Extreme advantage for Judge

Aaron Judge has a 37.7% chance of reaching base vs Kutter Crawford, which is 2.2% lower than Judge's typical expectations, and 9.8% higher than batters facing Crawford.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	37.7%	22.1%	7.4%	5.3%	9.4%	15.7%	23.8%
Judge	-2.2	+0.2	+1.7	+0.0	-1.5	-2.4	-3.7
Crawford	+9.8	+1.9	+4.5	+0.6	-3.2	+7.9	-0.7

Aaron Judge is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Kutter Crawford is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Judge has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Kutter Crawford throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

37%

Cutter (R)

31%

Slider (R)

14%

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

13% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Chaser 7%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

Non-Competitive 9%

-4%

68% of Kutter Crawford's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 68%

+14%

Small Break 24%

+13%

Extreme Ride 15%

+11%

Medium Slow Velo 24%

+10%

15.8% of Aaron Judge's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Kutter Crawford strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% +0.8% 0%

Walk +9.3% -0.9% 44%

In Play -11.3% +0.1% 39%

On Base +7.5% -4.5% 31%

Hit -1.8% -3.6% 14%

Single -4.6% -2.9% 13%

2B / 3B -4.3% -2.4% 3%

Home Run +7.1% +1.7%

26.2% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Kutter Crawford induces Standard Grounders at a 28.8% rate, which is 5.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.2% -5.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% -1.7% 14%

Low Screamer -4.0% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -3.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +5.4% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +4.3% +1.0% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +3.4% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +2.6%

49.4% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 25.1% higher than the league average. 24.2% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -8.2% -0.2% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% +6.7% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.8% -4.1% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.6% -2.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +25.1% -0.1%

16.7% of Aaron Judge's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 14.1% of batted balls allowed by Kutter Crawford are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.7% -2.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% -2.4% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.9% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% -2.7% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% +0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +5.2% +2.6% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% +2.4% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% +3.7%

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	24	21	7	4	0	3	10	3	0.333
Expected From Contact →			6.53	4.33	0.23	1.97			0.311

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-15	Home Run	97%			2%
2024-09-15	Walk
2024-09-15	Strikeout
2024-07-27	Single		10%	54%	36%
2024-07-27	Home Run	99%
2024-07-27	Single			63%	37%
2024-07-07	Strikeout
2024-07-07	Flyout	89%			10%
2024-07-07	Strikeout
2024-06-16	Strikeout
2024-06-16	Home Run	48%	1%		50%
2024-06-16	Strikeout
2023-09-12	Walk
2023-09-12	Strikeout
2023-08-19	Pop Out				99%
2023-08-19	Flyout				99%
2023-08-19	Home Run	99%
2022-08-13	Strikeout
2022-08-13	Groundout			5%	95%
2022-08-13	Walk
2022-07-09	Strikeout
2022-07-09	Single		8%	74%	18%
2022-07-09	Strikeout
2022-04-10	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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