Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Aaron Judge

matchup for Dean Kremer

436th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

Dean Kremer

matchup for Aaron Judge

117th out of 567 (Best 21%)

Extreme advantage for Judge

Aaron Judge has a 41.4% chance of reaching base vs Dean Kremer, which is 1.5% higher than Judge's typical expectations, and 11.3% higher than batters facing Kremer.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	41.4%	23.6%	7.2%	5.9%	10.5%	17.8%	23.8%
Judge	+1.5	+1.8	+1.6	+0.6	-0.5	-0.3	-3.6
Kremer	+11.3	+3.1	+4.4	+1.6	-2.9	+8.1	-1.4

Aaron Judge is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dean Kremer is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Judge has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Dean Kremer throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

25%

Curve (R)

12%

Sinker (R)

11%

Changeup (R)

12% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Meatball 7%

+1%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

74% of Dean Kremer's pitches are classified as Fastball Pitches, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fastball (R) 74%

+20%

15.8% of Aaron Judge's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Dean Kremer strikes out 14.9% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -0.3% 0%

Walk +9.3% +0.8% 44%

In Play -11.3% -0.4% 39%

On Base +7.5% +1.3% 31%

Hit -1.8% +0.6% 14%

Single -4.6% -0.3% 13%

2B / 3B -4.3% +0.1% 3%

Home Run +7.1% +0.8%

26.2% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Dean Kremer induces Standard Grounders at a 31.3% rate, which is 3.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.2% -3.1% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% -1.1% 14%

Low Screamer -4.0% -0.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +5.4% +2.0% 1%

No Doubter +4.3% +0.9% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% +2.0% 3%

Pop up -1.5% +1.8%

49.4% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 25.1% higher than the league average. 24.3% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -8.2% +0.5% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% +0.6% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.8% +0.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.6% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +25.1% 0.0%

16.7% of Aaron Judge's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Dean Kremer are hit at this angle, which is 1.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.7% +0.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% -3.1% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% -1.0% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% -2.3% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% +1.0% 11%

29 to 38° +5.2% -1.9% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% +2.6% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% +4.0%

Aaron Judge has 14 plate appearances against Dean Kremer in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 12 with 2 home runs, 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	12	2	2	0	0	4	2	0.167
Expected From Contact →			2.29	1.99	0.06	0.24			0.191

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-09-24	Home Run	99%
2024-09-24	Forceout
2024-07-14	Walk
2024-07-14	Hit By Pitch
2024-07-14	Flyout				100%
2024-04-30	GIDP		5%	7%	89%
2024-04-30	Walk
2024-04-30	Forceout			17%	83%
2023-04-07	Flyout				100%
2023-04-07	Strikeout
2023-04-07	Strikeout
2022-07-24	Strikeout
2022-07-24	Home Run	100%
2022-07-24	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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