Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Aaron Judge

matchup for Dakota Hudson

434th out of 436 (Worst 1%)

Dakota Hudson

matchup for Aaron Judge

73rd out of 567 (Best 14%)

Extreme advantage for Judge

Aaron Judge has a 46.2% chance of reaching base vs Dakota Hudson, which is 6.3% higher than Judge's typical expectations, and 9.0% higher than batters facing Hudson.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	46.2%	23.7%	3.8%	6.9%	13.0%	22.5%	15.7%
Judge	+6.3	+1.9	-1.8	+1.6	+2.1	+4.4	-11.7
Hudson	+9.0	-1.5	+1.2	+1.0	-3.7	+10.5	+3.3

Aaron Judge is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Dakota Hudson is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Judge has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Dakota Hudson throws a Sinker 41% of the time. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

41%

Slider (R)

26%

4-Seam (R)

17%

Curve (R)

12%

14% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 14%

+6%

Likely Ball 21%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Meatball 6%

Chaser 6%

-1%

Strong Challenge 3%

-2%

Mid Challenge 8%

-4%

33% of Dakota Hudson's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 20% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 33%

+20%

Large Break 34%

+13%

Medium Velo 20%

+10%

15.8% of Aaron Judge's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Dakota Hudson strikes out 10.3% of the batters he faces, which is 7.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -7.7% 0%

Walk +9.3% +3.2% 44%

In Play -11.3% +4.5% 39%

On Base +7.5% +4.9% 31%

Hit -1.8% +1.7% 14%

Single -4.6% +1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -4.3% +1.6% 3%

Home Run +7.1% -1.0%

26.2% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Dakota Hudson induces Standard Grounders at a 41.2% rate, which is 6.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.1% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.2% +6.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% +1.2% 14%

Low Screamer -4.0% -2.8% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer +5.4% -0.4% 1%

No Doubter +4.3% -0.7% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -3.3% 3%

Pop up -1.5% -1.3%

49.4% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 25.1% higher than the league average. 26.2% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -8.2% -3.1% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% +0.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.8% -0.2% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.6% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +25.1% +1.9%

16.7% of Aaron Judge's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 8.1% of batted balls allowed by Dakota Hudson are hit at this angle, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.7% +6.6% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +2.7% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +0.0% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% +0.5% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -3.9% 11%

29 to 38° +5.2% -3.3% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% -0.4% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% -2.1%

Aaron Judge has 3 plate appearances against Dakota Hudson in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 3.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	3	3	2	0	0	2	0	0	0.667
Expected From Contact →			2.08	0.01	0.50	1.57			0.692

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2022-08-05	Single		8%	23%	68%
2022-08-05	Single		11%	88%	1%
2022-08-05	Lineout		30%	46%	23%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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