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Aaron Judge

matchup for Chris Bassitt

435th out of 436 (Worst 0%)

Chris Bassitt

matchup for Aaron Judge

121st out of 567 (Best 22%)

Extreme advantage for Judge

Aaron Judge has a 43.6% chance of reaching base vs Chris Bassitt, which is 3.7% higher than Judge's typical expectations, and 8.4% higher than batters facing Bassitt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	43.6%	24.2%	6.2%	6.1%	12.0%	19.4%	25.7%
Judge	+3.7	+2.4	+0.5	+0.8	+1.0	+1.3	-1.7
Bassitt	+8.4	-0.1	+3.9	+0.9	-4.9	+8.4	+2.3

Aaron Judge is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Chris Bassitt is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Judge has an A+ grade vs this particular release point.

Chris Bassitt throws a Sinker 38% of the time. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

Sinker (R)

38%

Cutter (R)

17%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

13%

4-Seam (R)

10%

Changeup (R)

12% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 4% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 12%

+4%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

+0%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-3%

33% of Chris Bassitt's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 19% higher than the MLB average. Aaron Judge has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Break 33%

+19%

Slow Lob 20%

+18%

Low Ride 39%

+15%

Fastball (R) 64%

+11%

15.8% of Aaron Judge's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Chris Bassitt strikes out 15.3% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.0% -0.4% 0%

Walk +9.3% +0.1% 44%

In Play -11.3% +0.3% 39%

On Base +7.5% +1.5% 31%

Hit -1.8% +1.4% 14%

Single -4.6% +0.8% 13%

2B / 3B -4.3% +1.0% 3%

Home Run +7.1% -0.4%

26.2% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 8.2% lower than the league average. Chris Bassitt induces Standard Grounders at a 35.6% rate, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -8.2% +1.2% 7%

Hard Grounder +1.5% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -4.0% +1.4% 9%

Rising Liner +1.9% +1.3% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% -1.6% 3%

Likely Homer +5.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +4.3% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -0.2% -2.7% 3%

Pop up -1.5% -0.3%

49.4% of Aaron Judge's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 25.1% higher than the league average. 23.0% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -8.2% +1.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -4.6% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -6.8% +1.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph -5.6% -1.5% 24%

Above 100 mph +25.1% -1.3%

16.7% of Aaron Judge's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 5.2% higher than the league average. 10.7% of batted balls allowed by Chris Bassitt are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.7% +0.2% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% +0.3% 8%

1 to 6° +1.2% +2.7% 18%

7 to 18° +2.0% +0.6% 15%

19 to 28° +0.5% -0.5% 11%

29 to 38° +5.2% -0.7% 7%

39 to 50° +1.9% -1.6% 8%

Above 50° -3.1% -0.9%

Aaron Judge has 11 plate appearances against Chris Bassitt in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 11 with 5 strikeouts.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	11	11	3	0	0	3	5	0	0.273
Expected From Contact →			2.26	0.00	0.06	2.20			0.205

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-06-29	Single		2%	40%	57%
2024-06-29	Single			64%	36%
2024-04-15	Strikeout
2024-04-15	Groundout			6%	94%
2024-04-15	Strikeout
2023-09-28	Strikeout
2023-09-28	Strikeout
2023-09-28	Groundout		2%	6%	92%
2023-05-17	Strikeout
2023-05-17	Single
2023-05-17	Groundout			4%	95%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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