Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Brandon Drury

matchup for C. Hernandez

195th out of 436 (Best 45%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for Brandon Drury

184th out of 564 (Best 33%)

Moderate advantage for Drury

Brandon Drury has a 32.3% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 1.3% higher than Drury's typical expectations, and 0.0% higher than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.3%	23.5%	2.4%	5.7%	15.4%	8.7%	23.4%
Drury	+1.3	-0.1	+0.4	+0.9	-1.4	+1.4	-0.4
Hernandez	+0.0	+2.0	-0.7	-0.1	+2.8	-2.0	-0.5

Brandon Drury is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Drury has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Brandon Drury has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Drury has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Brandon Drury has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

14.3% of Brandon Drury's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

14%

Strikeout -0.5% -1.8% 5%

Walk -0.9% +2.0% 39%

In Play +1.4% -0.2% 39%

On Base -2.2% +0.9% 31%

Hit -1.4% -1.1% 14%

Single -0.5% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.1% -0.7% 3%

Home Run -0.8% +0.6%

37.4% of Brandon Drury's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.9% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.9% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.7% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer -0.7% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +1.2% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +0.1% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +0.7% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter -0.5% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout -1.9% +4.2% 3%

Pop up -0.5% +2.7%

26.7% of Brandon Drury's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 2.4% higher than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +3.1% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.4% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -3.8% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph -1.4% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph +2.4% -0.9%

9.9% of Brandon Drury's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 1.6% lower than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +1.5% -6.5% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.6% +0.4% 8%

1 to 6° -1.6% -2.5% 18%

7 to 18° +2.2% -0.3% 15%

19 to 28° -0.2% +1.1% 11%

29 to 38° -1.6% +0.4% 7%

39 to 50° +0.1% +2.0% 8%

Above 50° -1.9% +5.4%

Brandon Drury has 2 plate appearances against Carlos Hernandez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			1.46	0.00	0.03	1.43			0.728

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-04-22	Single			94%	5%
2022-08-27	Lineout		2%	49%	49%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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