Matchup Machine

Brandon Drury

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matchup for Brad Keller

135th out of 436 (Best 32%)

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Brad Keller

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matchup for Brandon Drury

224th out of 567 (Best 40%)

Leans in favor of Drury
2

Model Prediction

Brandon Drury has a 31.9% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 1.0% higher than Drury's typical expectations, and 0.8% lower than batters facing Keller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.9%23.9%1.9%4.4%17.5%8.0%19.2%
Drury+1.0+0.3-0.1-0.4+0.8+0.7-4.7
Keller-0.8+1.2-1.1-0.5+2.8-2.0-0.7

Handedness and Release Point

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Brandon Drury is worse vs right-handed pitching. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Drury has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Brandon Drury has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
34%
   Sinker (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Brandon Drury's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% -5.3% 5%         Walk -0.9% +0.7% 39%         In Play +1.4% +4.6% 39%         On Base -2.2% +4.5% 31%         Hit -1.4% +3.8% 14%         Single -0.5% +2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +2.3% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years