Matchup Machine

      Brandon Drury

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      matchup for Ranger Suarez

      212th out of 436 (Best 49%)

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      Ranger Suarez

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      matchup for Brandon Drury

      136th out of 564 (Best 25%)

      Moderate advantage for Drury
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      Model Prediction

      Brandon Drury has a 34.1% chance of reaching base vs Ranger Suarez, which is 3.2% higher than Drury's typical expectations, and 0.1% higher than batters facing Suarez.

      Handedness and Release Point

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      Brandon Drury is better vs left-handed pitching. Ranger Suarez is left handed with a moderate release toward the first base side. Drury has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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      On the Way to the Plate

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      Ranger Suarez throws a Sinker 33% of the time. Brandon Drury has a B+ grade against left-handed Sinkers

      Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (L)
      33%
         4-Seam (L)
      21%
         Changeup (L)
      20%
         Curve (L)
      12%
         Cutter (L)
      8%

      Contact and Outcomes

      14.3% of Brandon Drury's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Ranger Suarez strikes out 16.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

      MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +0.1% 5%         Walk -0.9% -1.2% 39%         In Play +1.4% +1.1% 39%         On Base -2.2% +1.9% 31%         Hit -1.4% +3.1% 14%         Single -0.5% +1.8% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% +2.2% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -0.9%

      History

      Brandon Drury has 2 plate appearances against Ranger Suarez in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

      PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
      Actual221001100.500
      Expected From Contact →0.190.000.000.180.093
      Expected From Contact
      Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
      2022-10-21Single18%82%
      2022-10-21Strikeout

      Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.