Matchup Machine

Brandon Drury

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matchup for Blake Treinen

149th out of 436 (Best 35%)

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Blake Treinen

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matchup for Brandon Drury

544th out of 567 (Worst 4%)

Strong advantage for Treinen
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Model Prediction

Brandon Drury has a 26.1% chance of reaching base vs Blake Treinen, which is 4.8% lower than Drury's typical expectations, and 1.0% lower than batters facing Treinen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction26.1%18.4%1.9%3.2%13.2%7.8%33.1%
Drury-4.8-5.2-0.1-1.6-3.5+0.4+9.3
Treinen-1.0+0.2-0.7-0.1+1.0-1.1+1.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Brandon Drury is worse vs right-handed pitching. Blake Treinen is right handed with an extreme release toward the third base side. Drury has a D- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Blake Treinen throws a Sinker 43% of the time. Brandon Drury has a C+ grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
43%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Cutter (R)
15%
   4-Seam (R)
14%

Contact and Outcomes

14.3% of Brandon Drury's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. Blake Treinen strikes out 21.8% of the batters he faces, which is 7.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 14%         Strikeout -0.5% +7.1% 5%         Walk -0.9% -0.5% 39%         In Play +1.4% -6.6% 39%         On Base -2.2% -4.3% 31%         Hit -1.4% -3.8% 14%         Single -0.5% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -0.1% -1.4% 3%         Home Run -0.8% -1.3%

History

Brandon Drury has 1 plate appearance against Blake Treinen in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000000.000
Expected From Contact →0.030.000.000.030.031
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2022-10-12Groundout3%97%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.