Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Castellanos

matchup for Reid Detmers

307th out of 436 (Worst 30%)

Reid Detmers

matchup for N. Castellanos

330th out of 567 (Worst 42%)

Moderate advantage for Castellanos

Nick Castellanos has a 31.6% chance of reaching base vs Reid Detmers, which is 0.1% higher than Castellanos's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Detmers.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	31.6%	25.4%	4.0%	6.2%	15.2%	6.2%	31.6%
Castellanos	-0.1	+0.5	+1.0	-0.1	-0.4	-0.7	+9.0
Detmers	-0.4	+3.2	+0.8	+1.2	+1.2	-3.6	-0.9

Nick Castellanos is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Reid Detmers is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Castellanos has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Reid Detmers throws a 4-seam fastball 43% of the time. Nick Castellanos has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

43%

Slider (L)

28%

Curve (L)

18%

Changeup (L)

10% of Reid Detmers's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Nick Castellanos has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+1%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Chaser 6%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

-1%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Likely Ball 19%

-1%

Meatball 4%

-1%

46% of Reid Detmers's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Nick Castellanos has an A grade against this type of pitch from left handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (L) 46%

+16%

Extreme Drop 19%

+14%

Slow Lob 15%

+12%

Large Break 30%

+9%

11.7% of Nick Castellanos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Reid Detmers strikes out 19.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.8% +6.4% 5%

Walk -1.7% -0.2% 37%

In Play +6.5% -6.1% 39%

On Base +8.2% -3.3% 31%

Hit +9.9% -3.1% 14%

Single +4.1% -2.4% 13%

2B / 3B +4.3% -1.9% 3%

Home Run +1.5% +1.2%

31.2% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. Reid Detmers induces Standard Grounders at a 28.9% rate, which is 5.5% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% -0.3% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.2% -5.5% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% +0.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% -1.5% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% +1.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.1% -0.9% 3%

Likely Homer -0.2% +1.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.4% +2.5% 3%

Pop up -1.3% +1.8%

23.8% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 22.3% of batted balls allowed by Reid Detmers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% -3.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +3.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.1% +3.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -0.6% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.5% -2.0%

13.9% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 10.2% of batted balls allowed by Reid Detmers are hit at this angle, which is 1.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -4.3% -3.8% 12%

-10 to 0° -0.9% -0.8% 8%

1 to 6° -1.2% -0.3% 18%

7 to 18° +1.9% +0.4% 15%

19 to 28° +3.5% +3.0% 11%

29 to 38° +2.5% -1.2% 7%

39 to 50° +1.1% +0.1% 8%

Above 50° -2.6% +2.7%

Nick Castellanos has 2 plate appearances against Reid Detmers in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a strikeout.

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	2	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	0.500
Expected From Contact →			0.88	0.00	0.12	0.76			0.441

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2023-08-30	Strikeout
2023-08-30	Single		12%	76%	12%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

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