Matchup Machine

Nick Castellanos

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matchup for Logan Allen

360th out of 436 (Worst 18%)

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Logan Allen

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matchup for N. Castellanos

16th out of 567 (Best 4%)

Extreme advantage for Castellanos
10

Model Prediction

Nick Castellanos has a 36.9% chance of reaching base vs Logan Allen, which is 5.1% higher than Castellanos's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Allen.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction36.9%28.8%4.5%7.6%16.7%8.0%16.2%
Castellanos+5.1+3.9+1.6+1.3+1.1+1.2-6.4
Allen-0.2+4.3+0.7+1.8+1.9-4.5-1.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Castellanos is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Logan Allen is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Castellanos has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Allen throws a 4-seam fastball 47% of the time. Nick Castellanos has a B+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
47%
   Slider (L)
22%
   Changeup (L)
19%
   Cutter (L)
11%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Nick Castellanos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Logan Allen strikes out 11.9% of the batters he faces, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% -4.2% 5%         Walk -1.7% +1.6% 37%         In Play +6.5% +2.6% 39%         On Base +8.2% +1.5% 31%         Hit +9.9% -0.1% 14%         Single +4.1% -1.0% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% -0.5% 3%         Home Run +1.5% +1.4%

History

No History in the last 3 years