Matchup Machine

Nick Castellanos

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

238th out of 436 (Worst 46%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for N. Castellanos

439th out of 567 (Worst 23%)

Leans in favor of Castellanos
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Model Prediction

Nick Castellanos has a 31.1% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 0.7% lower than Castellanos's typical expectations, and 0.9% lower than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction31.1%22.0%2.4%4.7%15.0%9.0%24.1%
Castellanos-0.7-2.9-0.6-1.7-0.6+2.2+1.5
Schmidt-0.9+2.50.0+0.6+1.9-3.4-0.9

Handedness and Release Point

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Nick Castellanos is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Castellanos has an A grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Nick Castellanos has an A grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

11.7% of Nick Castellanos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 16%         Strikeout -4.8% +0.3% 5%         Walk -1.7% +1.6% 37%         In Play +6.5% -1.9% 39%         On Base +8.2% -0.3% 31%         Hit +9.9% -2.0% 14%         Single +4.1% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B +4.3% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +1.5% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years