Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Nick Castellanos

matchup for Jack Flaherty

275th out of 436 (Worst 37%)

Jack Flaherty

matchup for N. Castellanos

173rd out of 567 (Best 31%)

Strong advantage for Castellanos

Nick Castellanos has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 0.9% higher than Castellanos's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	32.7%	24.6%	4.1%	6.3%	14.2%	8.1%	22.7%
Castellanos	+0.9	-0.3	+1.1	-0.1	-1.4	+1.2	+0.1
Flaherty	-1.6	+1.3	+0.5	+1.1	-0.3	-2.9	-0.1

Nick Castellanos is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Castellanos has an A grade vs this particular release point.

Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Nick Castellanos has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

44%

Slider (R)

27%

Kn-Curve (R)

18%

21% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Nick Castellanos has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 21%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+1%

Edge Painter 17%

Mid Challenge 11%

Chaser 6%

Weak Challenge 8%

Meatball 6%

Non-Competitive 12%

-1%

Strong Challenge 4%

-1%

45% of Jack Flaherty's pitches are classified as Breaking Pitches, which is 14% higher than the MLB average. Nick Castellanos has an A- grade against this type of pitch from right handers.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Breaking (R) 45%

+14%

Medium Break 20%

+11%

11.7% of Nick Castellanos's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 4.8% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Strikeout -4.8% +5.8% 5%

Walk -1.7% -1.5% 37%

In Play +6.5% -4.3% 39%

On Base +8.2% -2.0% 31%

Hit +9.9% -0.5% 14%

Single +4.1% +0.0% 13%

2B / 3B +4.3% -0.3% 3%

Home Run +1.5% -0.2%

31.2% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 3.2% lower than the league average. Jack Flaherty induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +0.0% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -3.2% +1.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.5% -1.5% 14%

Low Screamer -0.6% +1.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.7% +0.7% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.1% -0.3% 3%

Likely Homer -0.2% +0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.4% -1.3% 3%

Pop up -1.3% -0.8%

23.8% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.5% lower than the league average. 21.5% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.4% +1.6% 21%

75 to 86 mph +1.2% +2.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.1% +0.5% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.1% -1.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.5% -2.8%

13.9% of Nick Castellanos's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 2.5% higher than the league average. 12.2% of batted balls allowed by Jack Flaherty are hit at this angle, which is 0.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%