Matchup Machine

Mark Canha

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matchup for Declan Cronin

284th out of 436 (Worst 35%)

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Declan Cronin

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matchup for Mark Canha

337th out of 567 (Worst 41%)

Moderate advantage for Canha
3

Model Prediction

Mark Canha has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Declan Cronin, which is 0.4% higher than Canha's typical expectations, and 1.4% higher than batters facing Cronin.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%23.4%1.9%4.1%17.5%10.4%21.6%
Canha+0.4+0.4-0.3-0.7+1.4+0.1-0.5
Cronin+1.4+0.3-0.4-0.5+1.1+1.1-2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Canha is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Declan Cronin is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Canha has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Declan Cronin throws a Slider 52% of the time. Mark Canha has a D- grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
52%
   Sinker (R)
41%
   4-Seam (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Mark Canha's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Declan Cronin strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% -0.3% 3%         Walk +2.5% -0.3% 39%         In Play +0.9% +0.5% 39%         On Base +0.4% +3.8% 31%         Hit -2.1% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.3% +2.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +3.1% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.7%

History

Mark Canha has 1 plate appearance against Declan Cronin in the last 3 years. He is 0 for 1 with a strikeout.

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual110000100.000
Expected From Contact →0.000.000.000.000.000
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-05-15Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.