Matchup Machine

Mark Canha

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matchup for Garrett Crochet

321st out of 436 (Worst 27%)

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Garrett Crochet

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matchup for Mark Canha

509th out of 567 (Worst 10%)

Moderate advantage for Crochet
4

Model Prediction

Mark Canha has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Garrett Crochet, which is 3.1% lower than Canha's typical expectations, and 2.8% higher than batters facing Crochet.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%21.7%1.7%4.9%15.1%8.5%32.0%
Canha-3.1-1.3-0.5+0.1-1.0-1.8+9.9
Crochet+2.8+0.8-0.7-0.2+1.7+2.0-3.3

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Canha is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Garrett Crochet is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Canha has a C+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Garrett Crochet throws a 4-seam fastball 58% of the time. Mark Canha has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
58%
   Cutter (L)
18%
   Slider (L)
16%
   Changeup (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Mark Canha's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Garrett Crochet strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +9.4% 3%         Walk +2.5% -1.3% 39%         In Play +0.9% -8.1% 39%         On Base +0.4% -3.9% 31%         Hit -2.1% -2.5% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.4% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -1.1% 3%         Home Run -1.4% +0.1%

History

Mark Canha has 5 plate appearances against Garrett Crochet in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 5 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual551010200.200
Expected From Contact →1.220.310.750.160.243
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2024-08-21Double31%58%2%10%
2024-08-21Forceout4%7%90%
2024-03-28Strikeout
2024-03-28Strikeout
2024-03-28Groundout14%7%78%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.