Matchup Machine

Mark Canha

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matchup for Tarik Skubal

173rd out of 436 (Best 40%)

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Tarik Skubal

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matchup for Mark Canha

561st out of 567 (Worst 1%)

Strong advantage for Skubal
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Model Prediction

Mark Canha has a 24.9% chance of reaching base vs Tarik Skubal, which is 8.5% lower than Canha's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Skubal.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction24.9%19.1%1.5%3.9%13.8%5.8%28.6%
Canha-8.5-3.9-0.7-0.9-2.3-4.6+6.5
Skubal-0.4-0.9-0.7-0.10.0+0.5-1.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Canha is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Tarik Skubal is left handed with an over-the-top delivery. Canha has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Tarik Skubal throws a 4-seam fastball 37% of the time. Mark Canha has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
37%
   Slider (L)
21%
   Changeup (L)
20%
   Sinker (L)
16%
   Kn-Curve (L)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Mark Canha's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Tarik Skubal strikes out 20.2% of the batters he faces, which is 6.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +6.3% 3%         Walk +2.5% -3.3% 39%         In Play +0.9% -3.0% 39%         On Base +0.4% -5.6% 31%         Hit -2.1% -2.3% 14%         Single -0.3% -1.3% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -1.0% 3%         Home Run -1.4% 0.0%

History

No History in the last 3 years