Matchup Machine

Mark Canha

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matchup for Alex Speas

255th out of 436 (Worst 42%)

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Alex Speas

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matchup for Mark Canha

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Canha
5

Model Prediction

Mark Canha has a 35.5% chance of reaching base vs Alex Speas, which is 2.2% higher than Canha's typical expectations, and 1.6% higher than batters facing Speas.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction35.5%20.8%1.9%4.2%14.7%14.7%22.3%
Canha+2.2-2.2-0.3-0.6-1.3+4.4+0.2
Speas+1.6-0.3-0.7-0.9+1.3+1.9-2.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Canha is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Alex Speas is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Canha has a D grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Alex Speas throws a Cutter 77% of the time. Mark Canha has a D+ grade against right-handed Cutters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Cutter (R)
77%
   4-Seam (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Mark Canha's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Alex Speas strikes out 24.0% of the batters he faces, which is 19.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% +19.9% 3%         Walk +2.5% -0.6% 39%         In Play +0.9% -19.3% 39%         On Base +0.4% -8.2% 31%         Hit -2.1% -7.6% 14%         Single -0.3% -5.7% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% -5.2% 3%         Home Run -1.4% +3.3%

History

No History in the last 3 years