matchup for Jake Irvin
matchup for Mark Canha
9
Mark Canha has a 37.2% chance of reaching base vs Jake Irvin, which is 4.2% higher than Canha's typical expectations, and 3.3% higher than batters facing Irvin.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 37.2% | 26.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 17.7% |
| Canha | +4.2 | +3.6 | +0.6 | +0.7 | +2.3 | +0.6 | -3.9 |
| Irvin | +3.3 | +1.5 | -0.3 | +0.2 | +1.7 | +1.8 | -2.3 |
Mark Canha is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jake Irvin is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Canha has a D grade vs this particular release point.
Jake Irvin throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Mark Canha has a D grade against right-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (R)
36%
Curve (R)
31%
Sinker (R)
26%
10% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Mark Canha has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
10%
+2%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Fringe Miss
13%
+0%
Meatball
6%
0%
Non-Competitive
12%
0%
Chaser
5%
-2%
Likely Ball
17%
-2%
17% of Jake Irvin's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Mark Canha has a C grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
17%
+12%
Fastball (R)
65%
+11%
Fast Velo
26%
+11%
Large Drop
15%
+10%
12.4% of Mark Canha's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.6% lower than the league average. Jake Irvin strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Strikeout
-3.6%
-4.3%
3%
Walk
+2.6%
-0.5%
39%
In Play
+1.1%
+4.8%
39%
On Base
+0.2%
+1.3%
31%
Hit
-2.4%
+1.8%
14%
Single
-0.5%
+0.3%
13%
2B / 3B
-0.5%
+0.5%
3%
Home Run
-1.5%
+1.0%
36.4% of Mark Canha's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Jake Irvin induces Standard Grounders at a 36.3% rate, which is 1.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.3%
-0.2%
34%
Standard Grounder
+2.0%
+1.8%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.5%
+1.1%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.0%
-1.6%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
+3.0%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.7%
+2.1%
3%
Likely Homer
-0.8%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
+0.0%
+0.7%
20%
Routine Flyout
+2.0%
-4.9%
3%
Pop up
+1.2%
-1.5%
20.9% of Mark Canha's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
0.0%
-7.3%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-1.8%
+0.6%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+4.5%
-1.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+0.8%
+4.9%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.4%
+3.6%
12.1% of Mark Canha's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 9.7% of batted balls allowed by Jake Irvin are hit at this angle, which is 1.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+0.6%
+1.5%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.4%
+1.6%
8%
1 to 6°
-0.8%
+0.5%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.4%
+3.5%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.6%
+0.0%
11%
29 to 38°
+0.6%
-1.7%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.8%
-3.8%
8%
Above 50°
-0.1%
-1.6%
Mark Canha has 7 plate appearances against Jake Irvin in the last 3 years. He is 3 for 7 with 2 doubles and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.429 |
| Expected From Contact → | 2.81 | 0.01 | 1.80 | 0.99 | 0.401 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2024-06-12 | Flyout | 99% | |||
| 2024-06-12 | Groundout | 12% | 87% | ||
| 2024-06-12 | Single | 32% | 58% | 11% | |
| 2023-09-15 | Strikeout | ||||
| 2023-09-15 | Groundout | 10% | 89% | ||
| 2023-05-14 | Double | 1% | 62% | 6% | 30% |
| 2023-05-14 | Double | 85% | 12% | 3% | |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
