Matchup Machine

Mark Canha

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matchup for Logan Webb

176th out of 436 (Best 41%)

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Logan Webb

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matchup for Mark Canha

402nd out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of Canha
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Model Prediction

Mark Canha has a 32.0% chance of reaching base vs Logan Webb, which is 1.4% lower than Canha's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Webb.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.0%24.3%1.6%4.9%17.8%7.6%22.8%
Canha-1.4+1.3-0.6+0.1+1.7-2.7+0.7
Webb-0.2-0.4-0.8-0.3+0.7+0.2+0.8

Handedness and Release Point

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Mark Canha is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Logan Webb is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Canha has a D+ grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Logan Webb throws a Sinker 36% of the time. Mark Canha has a C- grade against right-handed Sinkers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Sinker (R)
36%
   Changeup (R)
34%
   Slider (R)
25%

Contact and Outcomes

12.6% of Mark Canha's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Logan Webb strikes out 15.0% of the batters he faces, which is 0.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 15%         Strikeout -3.4% -0.8% 3%         Walk +2.5% -2.4% 39%         In Play +0.9% +3.2% 39%         On Base +0.4% +1.6% 31%         Hit -2.1% +4.0% 14%         Single -0.3% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B -0.3% +2.8% 3%         Home Run -1.4% -1.3%

History

Mark Canha has 5 plate appearances against Logan Webb in the last 3 years. He is 2 for 4 with a walk

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual542002010.500
Expected From Contact →1.700.000.031.680.426
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-22Groundout11%89%
2023-04-22Single1%69%29%
2023-04-22Walk
2022-05-24Forceout11%89%
2022-05-24Single77%22%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.