Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mark Canha

matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

311st out of 436 (Worst 29%)

Yusei Kikuchi

matchup for Mark Canha

488th out of 567 (Worst 14%)

Moderate advantage for Kikuchi

Mark Canha has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 4.6% lower than Canha's typical expectations, and 2.2% higher than batters facing Kikuchi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.8%	21.6%	2.3%	4.6%	14.7%	7.2%	24.1%
Canha	-4.6	-1.5	+0.1	-0.2	-1.4	-3.1	+1.9
Kikuchi	+2.2	+1.0	-0.4	-0.2	+1.6	+1.2	-5.5

Mark Canha is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Canha has a D grade vs this particular release point.

Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mark Canha has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

11%

Curve (L)

11%

Cutter (L)

7% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Mark Canha has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

28% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Mark Canha has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 28%

+18%

Minimal Break 18%

+8%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

12.6% of Mark Canha's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 3.4% lower than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

15%

Strikeout -3.4% +4.3% 3%

Walk +2.5% -1.4% 39%

In Play +0.9% -2.8% 39%

On Base +0.4% -0.9% 31%

Hit -2.1% +0.5% 14%

Single -0.3% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B -0.3% +0.3% 3%

Home Run -1.4% +0.2%

36.4% of Mark Canha's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 2.0% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi induces Standard Grounders at a 36.0% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.3% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +2.0% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.5% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.0% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% -1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.6% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer -0.9% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.0% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout +1.9% +0.4% 3%

Pop up +1.2% -0.4%

21.0% of Mark Canha's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.3% lower than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph 0.0% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -1.9% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph +4.4% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph +0.7% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.3% +3.7%

12.0% of Mark Canha's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 12.7% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° +0.5% +0.6% 12%

-10 to 0° +1.5% +1.7% 8%

1 to 6° -0.8% +0.8% 18%

7 to 18° -0.3% -3.4% 15%

19 to 28° -0.6% -0.3% 11%

29 to 38° +0.6% +1.3% 7%

39 to 50° -0.8% +0.9% 8%

Above 50° -0.1% -1.7%

Mark Canha has 8 plate appearances against Yusei Kikuchi in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 6 with 2 walks

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	8	6	1	0	0	1	2	2	0.167
Expected From Contact →			1.98	0.28	0.17	1.53			0.330

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-20	Walk
2024-07-20	Strikeout
2024-07-20	Single			64%	35%
2024-05-26	Lineout		7%	69%	24%
2024-05-26	Groundout			20%	80%
2023-06-04	Walk
2023-06-04	Strikeout
2023-06-04	Flyout	28%	9%		63%

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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