Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kris Bryant

matchup for Jared Jones

88th out of 436 (Best 21%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Kris Bryant

362nd out of 567 (Worst 36%)

Moderate advantage for Jones

Kris Bryant has a 28.0% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.7% lower than Bryant's typical expectations, and 3.1% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.0%	18.3%	2.6%	5.0%	10.7%	9.7%	32.9%
Bryant	-0.7	-1.4	+0.2	+0.1	-1.7	+0.7	+3.7
Jones	-3.1	-2.5	-0.3	0.0	-2.2	-0.5	+4.3

Kris Bryant is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bryant has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Kris Bryant has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Kris Bryant has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Kris Bryant has a B grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

15.8% of Kris Bryant's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% +0.4% 4%

Walk +0.5% +0.6% 41%

In Play -2.6% -1.1% 39%

On Base -1.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit -2.2% -0.8% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.1% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +0.0% +0.9%

30.0% of Kris Bryant's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.4% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.8% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +1.1% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.1% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +2.5%

23.7% of Kris Bryant's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.6% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.3% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.6% +0.4%

14.5% of Kris Bryant's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%