Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Kris Bryant

matchup for C. Hernandez

45th out of 436 (Best 11%)

Carlos Hernandez

matchup for Kris Bryant

266th out of 567 (Best 48%)

Moderate advantage for Hernandez

Kris Bryant has a 28.2% chance of reaching base vs Carlos Hernandez, which is 0.5% higher than Bryant's typical expectations, and 4.0% lower than batters facing Hernandez.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.2%	18.6%	2.7%	6.2%	9.8%	9.6%	29.2%
Bryant	-0.5	-1.1	+0.2	+1.3	-2.6	+0.6	+0.1
Hernandez	-4.0	-2.9	-0.4	+0.3	-2.8	-1.1	+5.3

Kris Bryant is worse vs right-handed pitching. Carlos Hernandez is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bryant has a C grade vs this particular release point.

Carlos Hernandez throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Kris Bryant has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

19%

Curve (R)

Kn-Curve (R)

Splitter (R)

Sinker (R)

14% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 3% higher than the MLB average. Kris Bryant has an A grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 14%

+3%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Fringe Miss 14%

+1%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Likely Ball 19%

+0%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Edge Painter 16%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 4%

-2%

26% of Carlos Hernandez's pitches are classified as Extreme Fast Velocity, which is 23% higher than the MLB average. Kris Bryant hasn't faced this type of pitch enough to assign a grade.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Extreme Fast Velo 26%

+23%

Medium Break 38%

+19%

High Ride 25%

+15%

15.8% of Kris Bryant's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Carlos Hernandez strikes out 14.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.1% -1.8% 4%

Walk +0.5% +2.0% 41%

In Play -2.6% -0.2% 39%

On Base -1.7% +0.9% 31%

Hit -2.2% -1.1% 14%

Single -1.1% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -1.1% -0.7% 3%

Home Run +0.0% +0.6%

30.0% of Kris Bryant's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 4.4% lower than the league average. Carlos Hernandez induces Standard Grounders at a 27.5% rate, which is 6.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% +0.0% 34%

Standard Grounder -4.4% -6.9% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.8% -1.3% 14%

Low Screamer +0.3% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -0.7% +1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +1.4% +2.8% 3%

Likely Homer +1.1% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +1.6% -0.5% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.1% +4.2% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +2.7%

23.7% of Kris Bryant's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.6% lower than the league average. 23.4% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.9% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +2.6% -4.0% 21%

75 to 86 mph -2.3% -0.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.3% +1.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +1.5% +3.3% 24%

Above 100 mph -0.6% -0.9%

14.5% of Kris Bryant's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.0% higher than the league average. 11.9% of batted balls allowed by Carlos Hernandez are hit at this angle, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%