Matchup Machine

Kris Bryant

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matchup for Jack Flaherty

86th out of 436 (Best 20%)

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Jack Flaherty

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matchup for Kris Bryant

108th out of 567 (Best 20%)

Leans in favor of Bryant
2

Model Prediction

Kris Bryant has a 30.7% chance of reaching base vs Jack Flaherty, which is 2.0% higher than Bryant's typical expectations, and 3.5% lower than batters facing Flaherty.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.7%20.2%3.8%5.0%11.5%10.4%27.2%
Bryant+2.0+0.6+1.3+0.2-0.9+1.4-2.0
Flaherty-3.5-3.0+0.2-0.1-3.0-0.5+4.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Kris Bryant is worse vs right-handed pitching. Jack Flaherty is right handed with a horizontal release toward the third base side. Bryant has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Jack Flaherty throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Kris Bryant has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
44%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Kn-Curve (R)
18%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Kris Bryant's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Jack Flaherty strikes out 20.5% of the batters he faces, which is 5.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.1% +5.8% 4%         Walk +0.5% -1.5% 41%         In Play -2.6% -4.3% 39%         On Base -1.7% -2.0% 31%         Hit -2.2% -0.5% 14%         Single -1.1% +0.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% -0.3% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -0.2%

History

No History in the last 3 years