Matchup Machine

Kris Bryant

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matchup for Brad Keller

44th out of 436 (Best 11%)

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Brad Keller

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matchup for Kris Bryant

227th out of 567 (Best 41%)

Leans in favor of Keller
2

Model Prediction

Kris Bryant has a 30.4% chance of reaching base vs Brad Keller, which is 1.7% higher than Bryant's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Keller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.4%19.8%2.5%3.9%13.4%10.7%25.0%
Bryant+1.7+0.1+0.1-1.0+1.0+1.6-4.2
Keller-2.3-2.9-0.4-1.1-1.4+0.6+5.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Kris Bryant is worse vs right-handed pitching. Brad Keller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Bryant has a C grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Brad Keller throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Kris Bryant has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
34%
   Sinker (R)
16%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Kris Bryant's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.1% higher than the league average. Brad Keller strikes out 11.7% of the batters he faces, which is 5.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.1% -5.3% 4%         Walk +0.5% +0.7% 41%         In Play -2.6% +4.6% 39%         On Base -1.7% +4.5% 31%         Hit -2.2% +3.8% 14%         Single -1.1% +2.0% 13%         2B / 3B -1.1% +2.3% 3%         Home Run +0.0% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years