Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willson Contreras

matchup for Zach Brzykcy

97th out of 436 (Best 23%)

Zach Brzykcy

matchup for W. Contreras

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Contreras

Willson Contreras has a 33.7% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 2.5% higher than Contreras's typical expectations, and 1.2% lower than batters facing Brzykcy.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.7%	20.1%	2.8%	5.0%	12.3%	13.6%	26.2%
Contreras	+2.5	-0.1	-0.2	+0.4	-0.2	+2.6	-2.4
Brzykcy	-1.2	-3.3	-0.3	-1.1	-1.9	+2.2	+4.5

Willson Contreras is worse vs right-handed pitching. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Contreras has a B grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Willson Contreras has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

21%

27% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 27%

+8%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 13%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Fringe Miss 9%

-4%

50% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 50%

+31%

High Ride 37%

+26%

Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+10%

16.1% of Willson Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.6% -9.3% 3%

Walk +3.3% +2.7% 42%

In Play -5.9% +6.6% 39%

On Base +4.5% +16.4% 31%

Hit +1.2% +13.7% 14%

Single -0.2% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% +4.7% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +4.6%

40.8% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy induces Standard Grounders at a 17.0% rate, which is 17.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.4% -17.4% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +0.4% +7.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% +14.7% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -3.4%

32.2% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.1% -11.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.9% +8.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.9% +2.8%

8.4% of Willson Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 29.3% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at this angle, which is 17.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%