Matchup Machine

Willson Contreras

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matchup for Ryan Feltner

121st out of 436 (Best 29%)

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Ryan Feltner

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matchup for W. Contreras

194th out of 567 (Best 35%)

Moderate advantage for Contreras
3

Model Prediction

Willson Contreras has a 32.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 1.4% higher than Contreras's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Feltner.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction32.7%21.3%2.8%5.5%13.0%11.4%26.2%
Contreras+1.4+1.1-0.1+0.8+0.4+0.4-2.3
Feltner-0.7-3.5-0.1-0.5-2.9+2.8+6.0

Handedness and Release Point

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Willson Contreras is worse vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Contreras has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Willson Contreras has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
36%
   Slider (R)
27%
   Sinker (R)
15%
   Changeup (R)
12%
   Curve (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

16.1% of Willson Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +2.6% -5.1% 3%         Walk +3.3% 0.0% 42%         In Play -5.9% +5.1% 39%         On Base +4.5% +5.3% 31%         Hit +1.2% +5.3% 14%         Single -0.2% +2.5% 13%         2B / 3B +0.2% +2.7% 3%         Home Run +1.1% +0.1%

History

No History in the last 3 years