Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willson Contreras

matchup for Chad Green

225th out of 436 (Worst 49%)

Chad Green

matchup for W. Contreras

430th out of 567 (Worst 24%)

Moderate advantage for Green

Willson Contreras has a 27.3% chance of reaching base vs Chad Green, which is 4.0% lower than Contreras's typical expectations, and 0.5% higher than batters facing Green.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	27.3%	18.4%	3.9%	4.2%	10.4%	8.9%	29.9%
Contreras	-4.0	-1.7	+0.9	-0.5	-2.2	-2.2	+1.4
Green	+0.5	-1.7	+0.5	-0.8	-1.4	+2.2	+4.9

Willson Contreras is worse vs right-handed pitching. Chad Green is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Contreras has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Chad Green throws a 4-seam fastball 72% of the time. Willson Contreras has a C grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

72%

Slider (R)

14%

Curve (R)

11%

16% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 16%

+5%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Fringe Miss 12%

Chaser 6%

Non-Competitive 10%

-3%

Meatball 3%

-3%

Weak Challenge 5%

-3%

47% of Chad Green's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 28% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 47%

+28%

High Ride 37%

+27%

Very Fast Velo 34%

+26%

Fastball (R) 73%

+20%

16.1% of Willson Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Chad Green strikes out 21.3% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.6% +9.3% 3%

Walk +3.3% -3.9% 42%

In Play -5.9% -5.4% 39%

On Base +4.5% -8.6% 31%

Hit +1.2% -4.7% 14%

Single -0.2% -2.2% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% -2.9% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.3%

40.8% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Chad Green induces Standard Grounders at a 25.6% rate, which is 8.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.7% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.4% -8.8% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% -0.7% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% -0.8% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +1.4% 3%

Likely Homer +0.4% +1.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% -0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% +9.5% 3%

Pop up -0.1% +1.8%

32.2% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. 27.9% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.1% -4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% -4.9% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% +2.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.9% +4.2% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.9% +3.6%

8.4% of Willson Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 15.0% of batted balls allowed by Chad Green are hit at this angle, which is 3.5% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%