Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Willson Contreras

matchup for Yusei Kikuchi

162nd out of 436 (Best 38%)

Yusei Kikuchi

matchup for W. Contreras

506th out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Strong advantage for Kikuchi

Willson Contreras has a 25.9% chance of reaching base vs Yusei Kikuchi, which is 5.4% lower than Contreras's typical expectations, and 0.7% lower than batters facing Kikuchi.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	25.9%	17.9%	2.9%	4.3%	10.8%	8.0%	34.5%
Contreras	-5.4	-2.2	-0.1	-0.3	-1.8	-3.1	+5.9
Kikuchi	-0.7	-2.6	+0.2	-0.5	-2.3	+2.0	+4.9

Willson Contreras is better vs left-handed pitching. Yusei Kikuchi is left handed with a horizontal release toward the first base side. Contreras has an A- grade vs this particular release point.

Yusei Kikuchi throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Willson Contreras has a D+ grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (L)

44%

Slider (L)

24%

Changeup (L)

11%

Curve (L)

11%

Cutter (L)

7% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Strong Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Strong Challenge 7%

+2%

Mid Challenge 13%

+2%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Chaser 6%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 7%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

28% of Yusei Kikuchi's pitches are classified as Fast Velocity, which is 18% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has a D+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Fast Velo 28%

+18%

Minimal Break 18%

+8%

Medium Ride 22%

+8%

16.1% of Willson Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi strikes out 18.3% of the batters he faces, which is 4.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +2.6% +4.3% 3%

Walk +3.3% -1.4% 42%

In Play -5.9% -2.8% 39%

On Base +4.5% -0.9% 31%

Hit +1.2% +0.5% 14%

Single -0.2% +0.1% 13%

2B / 3B +0.2% +0.3% 3%

Home Run +1.1% +0.2%

40.8% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Yusei Kikuchi induces Standard Grounders at a 36.0% rate, which is 1.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.5% -0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder +6.4% +1.6% 7%

Hard Grounder +0.6% +0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -0.9% -2.7% 9%

Rising Liner -1.4% -1.2% 4%

Maybe Homer -0.1% +0.5% 3%

Likely Homer +0.4% +0.7% 1%

No Doubter +0.5% +1.1% 20%

Routine Flyout -4.9% +0.4% 3%

Pop up -0.1% -0.4%

32.2% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. 28.0% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at above 100 mph, which is 3.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph +0.1% -2.3% 21%

75 to 86 mph -0.8% -1.5% 18%

87 to 93 mph -2.3% -1.0% 19%

94 to 99 mph -4.9% +1.0% 24%

Above 100 mph +7.9% +3.7%

8.4% of Willson Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 12.7% of batted balls allowed by Yusei Kikuchi are hit at this angle, which is 1.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%