matchup for Joe Mantiply
matchup for W. Contreras
4
Willson Contreras has a 27.9% chance of reaching base vs Joe Mantiply, which is 2.8% lower than Contreras's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Mantiply.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 27.9% | 21.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 27.2% |
| Contreras | -2.8 | +1.8 | -0.5 | +0.3 | +2.0 | -4.6 | -2.4 |
| Mantiply | -0.2 | -1.4 | +0.4 | -0.7 | -1.0 | +1.2 | +4.3 |
Willson Contreras is better vs left-handed pitching. Joe Mantiply is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Contreras has an A- grade vs this particular release point.
Joe Mantiply throws a Sinker 42% of the time. Willson Contreras has an A+ grade against left-handed Sinkers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
Sinker (L)
42%
Curve (L)
29%
Changeup (L)
24%
14% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 5% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Weak Challenge
14%
+5%
Chaser
9%
+3%
Edge Painter
18%
+1%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Strong Challenge
5%
0%
Likely Ball
18%
-1%
Mid Challenge
10%
-2%
Meatball
3%
-2%
Non-Competitive
10%
-3%
61% of Joe Mantiply's pitches are classified as Extreme Break Toward Third Base, which is 45% higher than the MLB average. Willson Contreras has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Extreme Break
61%
+45%
Medium Drop
38%
+26%
Very Slow Velo
38%
+22%
Offspeed (L)
24%
+11%
16.1% of Willson Contreras's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 2.6% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply strikes out 16.1% of the batters he faces, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
13%
Strikeout
+2.6%
+1.1%
3%
Walk
+3.3%
-3.1%
42%
In Play
-5.9%
+2.0%
39%
On Base
+4.5%
-2.8%
31%
Hit
+1.2%
+0.3%
14%
Single
-0.2%
+0.2%
13%
2B / 3B
+0.2%
+0.2%
3%
Home Run
+1.1%
-0.1%
40.8% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 6.4% higher than the league average. Joe Mantiply induces Standard Grounders at a 44.0% rate, which is 9.6% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.5%
+3.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
+6.4%
+9.6%
7%
Hard Grounder
+0.6%
+0.2%
14%
Low Screamer
-0.9%
-4.8%
9%
Rising Liner
-1.4%
-1.4%
4%
Maybe Homer
-0.1%
+0.6%
3%
Likely Homer
+0.4%
-0.8%
1%
No Doubter
+0.5%
-0.6%
20%
Routine Flyout
-4.9%
-4.7%
3%
Pop up
-0.1%
-1.4%
32.2% of Willson Contreras's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 7.9% higher than the league average. 21.6% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
+0.1%
+5.0%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-0.8%
-1.1%
18%
87 to 93 mph
-2.3%
-3.9%
19%
94 to 99 mph
-4.9%
+2.7%
24%
Above 100 mph
+7.9%
-2.7%
8.4% of Willson Contreras's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 9.5% of batted balls allowed by Joe Mantiply are hit at this angle, which is 2.0% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
+3.6%
+7.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
+1.4%
+3.7%
8%
1 to 6°
+0.6%
+1.1%
18%
7 to 18°
-0.5%
-1.6%
15%
19 to 28°
-0.1%
-2.5%
11%
29 to 38°
-3.1%
-2.0%
7%
39 to 50°
-0.5%
-2.1%
8%
Above 50°
-1.4%
-4.5%
Willson Contreras has 2 plate appearances against Joe Mantiply in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a home run and
| PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.500 |
| Expected From Contact → | 1.32 | 0.99 | 0.01 | 0.32 | 0.658 | ||||
| Expected From Contact | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
| 2023-04-18 | Home Run | 99% | |||
| 2022-05-19 | Groundout | 32% | 68% | ||
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.
