Matchup Machine

Mike Yastrzemski

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matchup for Bryce Miller

197th out of 436 (Best 46%)

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Bryce Miller

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matchup for M. Yastrzemski

503rd out of 567 (Worst 11%)

Moderate advantage for Miller
5

Model Prediction

Mike Yastrzemski has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Bryce Miller, which is 2.8% lower than Yastrzemski's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Miller.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction28.8%18.3%2.9%4.0%11.4%10.5%34.5%
Yastrzemski-2.8-2.8-0.8-0.8-1.20.0+7.2
Miller-0.4-2.2+0.6-0.4-2.3+1.7+4.6

Handedness and Release Point

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Mike Yastrzemski is better vs right-handed pitching. Bryce Miller is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Yastrzemski has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Bryce Miller throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Mike Yastrzemski has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (R)
49%
   Slider (R)
20%
   Sinker (R)
13%
   Splitter (R)
10%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Mike Yastrzemski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Bryce Miller strikes out 15.5% of the batters he faces, which is 0.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% +0.2% 4%         Walk +0.5% -2.5% 41%         In Play -2.4% +2.3% 39%         On Base -3.2% -3.2% 31%         Hit -3.7% -0.7% 14%         Single -3.3% -0.8% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% -0.4% 3%         Home Run +2.6% +0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years