Matchup Machine

Mike Yastrzemski

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matchup for Ryan Weathers

265th out of 436 (Worst 39%)

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Ryan Weathers

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matchup for M. Yastrzemski

404th out of 567 (Worst 29%)

Leans in favor of Weathers
1

Model Prediction

Mike Yastrzemski has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 1.9% lower than Yastrzemski's typical expectations, and 0.2% higher than batters facing Weathers.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction29.7%19.8%3.0%5.5%11.3%9.9%27.1%
Yastrzemski-1.9-1.3-0.7+0.7-1.3-0.6-0.2
Weathers-0.2-1.8+0.9-0.1-2.6+1.6+2.4

Handedness and Release Point

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Mike Yastrzemski is worse vs left-handed pitching. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Yastrzemski has a B grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Mike Yastrzemski has a D grade against left-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    4-Seam (L)
44%
   Slider (L)
25%
   Changeup (L)
18%
   Sinker (L)
13%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Mike Yastrzemski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% -2.1% 4%         Walk +0.5% -0.6% 41%         In Play -2.4% +2.7% 39%         On Base -3.2% +0.9% 31%         Hit -3.7% +1.5% 14%         Single -3.3% +0.9% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% +1.2% 3%         Home Run +2.6% -0.5%

History

No History in the last 3 years