Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Mike Yastrzemski

matchup for Ryan Feltner

332nd out of 436 (Worst 24%)

Ryan Feltner

matchup for M. Yastrzemski

100th out of 567 (Best 18%)

Strong advantage for Yastrzemski

Mike Yastrzemski has a 34.3% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Feltner, which is 2.7% higher than Yastrzemski's typical expectations, and 0.9% higher than batters facing Feltner.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	34.3%	23.6%	4.0%	5.8%	13.8%	10.7%	22.4%
Yastrzemski	+2.7	+2.6	+0.4	+1.0	+1.2	+0.2	-4.9
Feltner	+0.9	-1.1	+1.2	-0.3	-2.0	+2.0	+2.2

Mike Yastrzemski is better vs right-handed pitching. Ryan Feltner is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Yastrzemski has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Ryan Feltner throws a 4-seam fastball 36% of the time. Mike Yastrzemski has a B+ grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

36%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

15%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

10%

10% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Weak Challenges, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Mike Yastrzemski has an A+ grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Weak Challenge 10%

+2%

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Fringe Miss 13%

+0%

Non-Competitive 13%

Strong Challenge 5%

Meatball 5%

-1%

Chaser 5%

-2%

Likely Ball 18%

-2%

31% of Ryan Feltner's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 12% higher than the MLB average. Mike Yastrzemski has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 31%

+12%

Fast Velo 26%

+11%

Small Drop 21%

+9%

15.8% of Mike Yastrzemski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Ryan Feltner strikes out 12.4% of the batters he faces, which is 5.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

13%

Strikeout +1.9% -5.1% 4%

Walk +0.5% 0.0% 41%

In Play -2.4% +5.1% 39%

On Base -3.2% +5.3% 31%

Hit -3.7% +5.3% 14%

Single -3.3% +2.5% 13%

2B / 3B -3.0% +2.7% 3%

Home Run +2.6% +0.1%

25.3% of Mike Yastrzemski's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 9.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Feltner induces Standard Grounders at a 34.3% rate, which is 0.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt +1.1% +0.4% 34%

Standard Grounder -9.1% -0.1% 7%

Hard Grounder -0.8% -2.1% 14%

Low Screamer -0.4% +5.2% 9%

Rising Liner +0.9% -0.4% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.5% -1.7% 3%

Likely Homer +1.1% -1.3% 1%

No Doubter -0.2% -0.8% 20%

Routine Flyout +3.6% -0.8% 3%

Pop up +1.3% +1.6%

24.9% of Mike Yastrzemski's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 20.1% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.2% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.6% +4.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph +0.5% +7.1% 18%

87 to 93 mph -1.0% -4.4% 19%

94 to 99 mph +2.6% -3.4% 24%

Above 100 mph +0.6% -4.2%

12.0% of Mike Yastrzemski's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 0.6% higher than the league average. 9.9% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Feltner are hit at this angle, which is 1.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%

Below -10° -6.0% -2.3% 12%

-10 to 0° -1.2% -1.2% 8%

1 to 6° +0.4% +0.1% 18%

7 to 18° -0.5% +1.6% 15%

19 to 28° -1.2% -4.4% 11%

29 to 38° +0.6% -1.6% 7%

39 to 50° +4.8% +2.8% 8%

Above 50° +3.3% +5.0%

Mike Yastrzemski has 14 plate appearances against Ryan Feltner in the last 3 years. He is 4 for 14 with 2 doubles and

	PA	AB	H	HR	2/3B	1B	K	BB	Avg
Actual	14	14	4	0	2	2	4	0	0.286
Expected From Contact →			3.38	0.70	1.47	1.20			0.241

		Expected From Contact
Date	Outcome	HR	2/3B	1B	Out
2024-07-27	Flyout				99%
2024-07-27	Groundout		3%	2%	95%
2024-07-27	Triple	54%	24%		21%
2024-07-21	Strikeout
2024-07-21	Flyout		5%		95%
2024-07-21	Single		60%	34%	6%
2024-05-17	Double		36%	55%	9%
2024-05-17	Flyout	16%	14%		69%
2022-09-29	Forceout			3%	97%
2022-09-29	Single		5%	7%	88%
2022-09-29	Strikeout
2022-08-20	Groundout			18%	82%
2022-08-20	Strikeout
2022-08-20	Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

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On the Way to the Plate

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Contact and Outcomes

History

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Model Prediction

Handedness and Release Point

Click on a grade for a detailed view

On the Way to the Plate

Click on a grade for a detailed view

Contact and Outcomes

History

Matchup Machine
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