Matchup Machine

Mike Yastrzemski

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matchup for Clarke Schmidt

366th out of 436 (Worst 16%)

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Clarke Schmidt

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matchup for M. Yastrzemski

257th out of 567 (Best 46%)

Moderate advantage for Yastrzemski
4

Model Prediction

Mike Yastrzemski has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 2.2% higher than Yastrzemski's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Schmidt.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction33.8%18.6%3.5%4.0%11.1%15.1%27.1%
Yastrzemski+2.2-2.4-0.2-0.7-1.5+4.6-0.2
Schmidt+1.8-0.9+1.10.0-2.0+2.7+2.2

Handedness and Release Point

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Mike Yastrzemski is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Yastrzemski has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

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On the Way to the Plate

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Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Mike Yastrzemski has a D grade against right-handed Sliders

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Slider (R)
28%
   Cutter (R)
24%
   Sinker (R)
23%
   Kn-Curve (R)
19%

Contact and Outcomes

15.8% of Mike Yastrzemski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 13%         Strikeout +1.9% +0.3% 4%         Walk +0.5% +1.6% 41%         In Play -2.4% -1.9% 39%         On Base -3.2% -0.3% 31%         Hit -3.7% -2.0% 14%         Single -3.3% -1.1% 13%         2B / 3B -3.0% -0.8% 3%         Home Run +2.6% 0.0%

History

Mike Yastrzemski has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and

PA AB H HR 2/3B 1B K BB Avg
Actual221010100.500
Expected From Contact →0.250.000.100.150.125
Expected From Contact
Date Outcome HR 2/3B 1B Out
2023-04-01Double10%15%75%
2023-04-01Strikeout

Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.