Mike Yastrzemski has a 33.8% chance of reaching base vs Clarke Schmidt, which is 2.2% higher than Yastrzemski's typical expectations, and 1.8% higher than batters facing Schmidt.
Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction | 33.8% | 18.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 11.1% | 15.1% | 27.1% |
Yastrzemski | +2.2 | -2.4 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -1.5 | +4.6 | -0.2 |
Schmidt | +1.8 | -0.9 | +1.1 | 0.0 | -2.0 | +2.7 | +2.2 |
Mike Yastrzemski is better vs right-handed pitching. Clarke Schmidt is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Yastrzemski has a B- grade vs this particular release point.
Clarke Schmidt throws a Slider 28% of the time. Mike Yastrzemski has a D grade against right-handed Sliders
15.8% of Mike Yastrzemski's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 1.9% higher than the league average. Clarke Schmidt strikes out 15.8% of the batters he faces, which is 0.3% higher than the typical MLB rate.
Mike Yastrzemski has 2 plate appearances against Clarke Schmidt in the last 3 years. He is 1 for 2 with a double and
PA | AB | H | HR | 2/3B | 1B | K | BB | Avg | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Actual | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.500 |
Expected From Contact → | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.125 |
Expected From Contact | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Outcome | HR | 2/3B | 1B | Out |
2023-04-01 | Double | 10% | 15% | 75% | |
2023-04-01 | Strikeout |
Expected From Contact: A model predicts the outcome of every ball hit in play based on how it leaves the bat (exit velocity, launch angle, direction, and batter handedness). This helps control for luck, weather, and the park the hitter was in.