Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Zach Brzykcy

56th out of 436 (Best 14%)

Zach Brzykcy

matchup for Matt Carpenter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Leans in favor of Carpenter

Matt Carpenter has a 33.1% chance of reaching base vs Zach Brzykcy, which is 2.9% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.8% lower than batters facing Brzykcy.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	33.1%	16.4%	2.9%	4.6%	8.9%	16.8%	29.6%
Carpenter	+2.9	+0.1	+0.2	+0.5	-0.6	+2.8	-4.2
Brzykcy	-1.8	-7.1	-0.2	-1.5	-5.4	+5.3	+8.0

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Zach Brzykcy is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Zach Brzykcy throws a 4-seam fastball 56% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

56%

Curve (R)

23%

Changeup (R)

21%

27% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Likely Balls, which is 8% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a C grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Likely Ball 27%

+8%

Meatball 8%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+0%

Edge Painter 17%

+0%

Strong Challenge 5%

Non-Competitive 13%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Fringe Miss 9%

-4%

50% of Zach Brzykcy's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 31% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 50%

+31%

High Ride 37%

+26%

Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Offspeed (R) 21%

+10%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Zach Brzykcy strikes out 12.7% of the batters he faces, which is 9.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% -9.3% 2%

Walk +5.4% +2.7% 44%

In Play -11.5% +6.6% 39%

On Base -4.7% +16.4% 31%

Hit -10.1% +13.7% 14%

Single -5.7% +4.3% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +4.7% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +4.6%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Zach Brzykcy induces Standard Grounders at a 17.0% rate, which is 17.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.8% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -17.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +2.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -2.9% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +0.9% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% +0.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +7.4% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% -1.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +14.7% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -3.4%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 27.1% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at above 100 mph, which is 2.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -11.7% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% 0.0% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +0.6% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% +8.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +2.8%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 29.3% of batted balls allowed by Zach Brzykcy are hit at this angle, which is 17.9% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%