Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Brandon Pfaadt

16th out of 436 (Best 4%)

Brandon Pfaadt

matchup for Matt Carpenter

417th out of 567 (Worst 27%)

Strong advantage for Pfaadt

Matt Carpenter has a 28.8% chance of reaching base vs Brandon Pfaadt, which is 1.3% lower than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 3.6% lower than batters facing Pfaadt.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	28.8%	17.9%	2.9%	3.9%	11.1%	11.0%	40.8%
Carpenter	-1.3	+1.6	+0.2	-0.2	+1.6	-2.9	+7.0
Pfaadt	-3.6	-6.6	-0.2	-1.4	-5.1	+3.0	+11.7

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Brandon Pfaadt is right handed with a moderate release toward the third base side. Carpenter has a B- grade vs this particular release point.

Brandon Pfaadt throws a 4-seam fastball 38% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

38%

Slider (R)

27%

Sinker (R)

18%

Changeup (R)

12%

Curve (R)

19% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Edge Painters, which is 2% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Edge Painter 19%

+2%

Mid Challenge 12%

+1%

Strong Challenge 6%

+1%

Likely Ball 20%

+0%

Meatball 6%

Fringe Miss 12%

Weak Challenge 8%

Chaser 5%

-1%

Non-Competitive 9%

-3%

29% of Brandon Pfaadt's pitches are classified as Just Gravity, which is 15% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a C+ grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Just Gravity 29%

+15%

Medium Fast Velo 30%

+15%

Large Break 15%

+10%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt strikes out 16.5% of the batters he faces, which is 1.2% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% +1.2% 2%

Walk +5.4% -2.4% 44%

In Play -11.5% +1.2% 39%

On Base -4.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit -10.1% +2.4% 14%

Single -5.7% +0.5% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% +0.9% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +1.0%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Brandon Pfaadt induces Standard Grounders at a 32.0% rate, which is 2.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% +0.5% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -2.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% -0.6% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% +2.6% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +0.2% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% -1.3% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% +0.8% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.3% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +0.9% 3%

Pop up -1.7% -1.0%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 29.1% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at above 100 mph, which is 4.8% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% -0.9% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -5.4% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% +5.7% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% -4.1% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +4.8%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Brandon Pfaadt are hit at this angle, which is 3.7% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%