Matchup Machine

Matt Carpenter

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matchup for Naoyuki Uwasawa

37th out of 436 (Best 9%)

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Naoyuki Uwasawa

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matchup for Matt Carpenter

out of 567 (Worst %)

Moderate advantage for Uwasawa
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Model Prediction

Matt Carpenter has a 30.2% chance of reaching base vs Naoyuki Uwasawa, which is 0.1% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 2.3% lower than batters facing Uwasawa.

Reach Hit HR 2B / 3B 1B BB K
Prediction30.2%15.9%2.9%4.2%8.9%14.3%32.9%
Carpenter+0.1-0.3+0.1+0.1-0.6+0.4-0.8
Uwasawa-2.3-6.6+0.2-1.6-5.3+4.4+10.1

Handedness and Release Point

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Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Naoyuki Uwasawa is right handed .

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On the Way to the Plate

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Naoyuki Uwasawa throws a Splitter 53% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an F grade against right-handed Splitters

Pitch Type % of Arsenal    Splitter (R)
53%
   4-Seam (R)
21%
   Cutter (R)
13%
   Slider (R)
6%

Contact and Outcomes

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Naoyuki Uwasawa strikes out 10.7% of the batters he faces, which is 3.3% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label 12%         Strikeout +6.0% -3.3% 2%         Walk +5.4% +6.2% 44%         In Play -11.5% -2.9% 39%         On Base -4.7% -10.0% 31%         Hit -10.1% -16.2% 14%         Single -5.7% -6.8% 13%         2B / 3B -5.5% -6.4% 3%         Home Run +1.0% -3.0%

History

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