Matchup Machine | Ballpark Pal

Matt Carpenter

matchup for Jared Jones

72nd out of 436 (Best 17%)

Jared Jones

matchup for Matt Carpenter

376th out of 567 (Worst 34%)

Strong advantage for Jones

Matt Carpenter has a 29.5% chance of reaching base vs Jared Jones, which is 0.7% lower than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 1.6% lower than batters facing Jones.

	Reach	Hit	HR	2B / 3B	1B	BB	K
Prediction	29.5%	15.2%	2.6%	4.1%	8.5%	14.3%	37.3%
Carpenter	-0.7	-1.0	-0.1	+0.1	-1.0	+0.4	+3.6
Jones	-1.6	-5.6	-0.4	-0.9	-4.4	+4.1	+8.8

Matt Carpenter is about the same vs right-handed pitching as he is against left. Jared Jones is right handed with an over-the-top delivery. Carpenter has a C- grade vs this particular release point.

Jared Jones throws a 4-seam fastball 49% of the time. Matt Carpenter has an A grade against right-handed 4-seamers

Pitch Type

% of Arsenal

4-Seam (R)

49%

Slider (R)

35%

Curve (R)

Changeup (R)

17% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 6% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a D grade against this type of pitch.

Show pitch label key

Pitch Label

% vs MLB

Mid Challenge 17%

+6%

Strong Challenge 8%

+3%

Edge Painter 18%

+1%

Chaser 6%

Likely Ball 18%

-1%

Fringe Miss 11%

-1%

Non-Competitive 11%

-2%

Weak Challenge 6%

-2%

Meatball 3%

-4%

36% of Jared Jones's pitches are classified as Medium Break Toward Third Base, which is 16% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has an A- grade against this type of pitch.

Physical Trait

% vs MLB

Medium Break 36%

+16%

Extreme Fast Velo 18%

+15%

Breaking (R) 44%

+13%

High Ride 22%

+11%

18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Jared Jones strikes out 15.6% of the batters he faces, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

12%

Strikeout +6.0% +0.4% 2%

Walk +5.4% +0.6% 44%

In Play -11.5% -1.1% 39%

On Base -4.7% -0.1% 31%

Hit -10.1% -0.8% 14%

Single -5.7% -1.1% 13%

2B / 3B -5.5% -0.5% 3%

Home Run +1.0% +0.9%

23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Jared Jones induces Standard Grounders at a 30.0% rate, which is 4.4% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

Squib/Bunt -0.1% -0.2% 34%

Standard Grounder -11.1% -4.4% 7%

Hard Grounder -1.2% +0.4% 14%

Low Screamer -2.5% -2.4% 9%

Rising Liner +0.1% +1.0% 4%

Maybe Homer +2.9% +1.5% 3%

Likely Homer +2.4% -0.1% 1%

No Doubter +0.8% +0.2% 20%

Routine Flyout +10.4% +1.5% 3%

Pop up -1.7% +2.5%

21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 24.7% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at above 100 mph, which is 0.4% higher than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

16%

Below 75 mph -2.7% +1.4% 21%

75 to 86 mph -3.6% -4.2% 18%

87 to 93 mph +5.0% -2.8% 19%

94 to 99 mph +4.4% +5.2% 24%

Above 100 mph -3.1% +0.4%

17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 8.9% of batted balls allowed by Jared Jones are hit at this angle, which is 2.6% lower than the typical MLB rate.

MLB Typical BP Label

17%