matchup for Ryan Weathers
matchup for Matt Carpenter
5
Matt Carpenter has a 29.7% chance of reaching base vs Ryan Weathers, which is 0.4% higher than Carpenter's typical expectations, and 0.4% higher than batters facing Weathers.
| Reach | Hit | HR | 2B / 3B | 1B | BB | K | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction | 29.7% | 16.0% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 34.3% |
| Carpenter | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.7 | +0.8 | -0.4 | -0.1 | +0.6 |
| Weathers | -0.4 | -5.5 | -0.1 | -0.7 | -4.7 | +5.2 | +9.6 |
Matt Carpenter is about the same vs left-handed pitching as he is against right. Ryan Weathers is left handed with an extreme release toward the first base side. Carpenter has a B grade vs this particular release point.
Ryan Weathers throws a 4-seam fastball 44% of the time. Matt Carpenter has a B grade against left-handed 4-seamers
Pitch Type
% of Arsenal
4-Seam (L)
44%
Slider (L)
25%
Changeup (L)
18%
Sinker (L)
13%
12% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Mid Challenges, which is 1% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a D grade against this type of pitch.
Pitch Label
% vs MLB
Mid Challenge
12%
+1%
Likely Ball
21%
+1%
Strong Challenge
6%
+1%
Non-Competitive
13%
+0%
Fringe Miss
12%
0%
Edge Painter
17%
0%
Weak Challenge
8%
0%
Meatball
5%
-1%
Chaser
5%
-1%
53% of Ryan Weathers's pitches are classified as Large Break Toward Third Base, which is 32% higher than the MLB average. Matt Carpenter has a B- grade against this type of pitch.
Physical Trait
% vs MLB
Large Break
53%
+32%
Fast Velo
28%
+19%
Low Ride
37%
+14%
18.2% of Matt Carpenter's plate appearances result in a strikeout, which is 6.0% higher than the league average. Ryan Weathers strikes out 14.3% of the batters he faces, which is 2.1% lower than the typical MLB rate.
12%
Strikeout
+6.0%
-2.1%
2%
Walk
+5.4%
-0.6%
44%
In Play
-11.5%
+2.7%
39%
On Base
-4.7%
+0.9%
31%
Hit
-10.1%
+1.5%
14%
Single
-5.7%
+0.9%
13%
2B / 3B
-5.5%
+1.2%
3%
Home Run
+1.0%
-0.5%
23.3% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are classified as Standard Grounders, which is 11.1% lower than the league average. Ryan Weathers induces Standard Grounders at a 40.1% rate, which is 5.7% higher than the typical MLB rate.
0%
Squib/Bunt
-0.1%
+0.3%
34%
Standard Grounder
-11.1%
+5.7%
7%
Hard Grounder
-1.2%
-0.6%
14%
Low Screamer
-2.5%
-1.1%
9%
Rising Liner
+0.1%
-1.3%
4%
Maybe Homer
+2.9%
+1.4%
3%
Likely Homer
+2.4%
-0.7%
1%
No Doubter
+0.8%
+0.5%
20%
Routine Flyout
+10.4%
-5.5%
3%
Pop up
-1.7%
+1.2%
21.2% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls are above 100 mph when they exit the bat, which is 3.1% lower than the league average. 25.4% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at above 100 mph, which is 1.1% higher than the typical MLB rate.
16%
Below 75 mph
-2.7%
+0.6%
21%
75 to 86 mph
-3.6%
+1.0%
18%
87 to 93 mph
+5.0%
-0.7%
19%
94 to 99 mph
+4.4%
-2.0%
24%
Above 100 mph
-3.1%
+1.1%
17.7% of Matt Carpenter's batted balls exit the bat at a launch angle between 29 and 38 degrees, which is 6.3% higher than the league average. 7.7% of batted balls allowed by Ryan Weathers are hit at this angle, which is 3.8% lower than the typical MLB rate.
17%
Below -10°
-9.3%
+3.9%
12%
-10 to 0°
-4.1%
+2.6%
8%
1 to 6°
-1.1%
+1.2%
18%
7 to 18°
+0.6%
-3.3%
15%
19 to 28°
+3.2%
+0.1%
11%
29 to 38°
+6.3%
-3.8%
7%
39 to 50°
+5.7%
+0.2%
8%
Above 50°
-1.3%
-0.9%
No History in the last 3 years
